Southeastern Baseball Fall Review

I still am not done with my NAIA draft research, but I wanted to do a team review today. What better way to start this off than by taking a look at the defending champs, Southeastern?

The fact that Dan Valerio was not drafted last year surprised me. I don’t really believe in anti-NAIA bias in the draft, most of the guys with great stats just don’t have MLB quality tools. Valerio is in between. Has above average power, but the plate discipline is not great and I’m not sold on the defense either. He did earn a Cape Cod invite this year though, which is always a great sign. Look for a team like the Astros to take him next year. They took Seth Beer, I don’t know why they would not be interested in Valerio if he keeps this up.

I love guys who walk more than they strikeout. It’s old fashion I know, but that level of plate disciple is just as much of a tool as having plus raw power. Dominic Anagnos, who played fall ball at Purdue before transferring to JUCO, had a great year last year in terms of plate discipline, with a 19/33 K/BB ratio. He has average bat speed and below average power, which limits his pro potential significantly. Anagnos is draftable if he his plate discipline stays the same, and hopefully some power comes along.

Southeastern’s pitching staff takes a big hit, with Eddie Jimenez and Jonathan Bermudez, along with Jordan Scott graduating. However, Felix Dieguez looks to fill step up after an impressive season last year. Dieguez had a 4.10 ERA in 68.0 innings with 83 strikeouts and 26 walks. Not sure if he is a draftable talent next year, but he put up a nice stat line this past season.

Overall, I really like this Southeastern team, and I see three potential senior signs out of the group. It is hard to say if there are any non seniors that will get drafted, that should get clearer as we get into spring. It is an exciting time to be a Southeastern fan, and they should be in national championship contention next year.

Feel free to leave a comment about any players on Southeastern or a different program that deserve a look. I am only one person and can’t cover everything, so I would love to hear what you all have to say.

Interesting JUCO Freshman: The Finale!

Thought it would be fun to use finale in a title and add an exclamation point. Anyways, once you get to seven parts of a series, it starts to feel redundant and uninspiring, so I am going to cut this short. Here are the rest of the players who I am interested in this spring, and players you should put on your follow list.

 

The other reason is because I have school and also working a lot on my coding skills in R, which has taken a lot of time. Don’t worry, I still am going to do writing, but I just want to dedicate time to working on this useful skill. With that though, I am planning on doing some charts, graphs, plots, etc. on college data so that should be both fun and useful for you the reader, and me the author.

 

Thanks for the patience everyone. Should have known college would be taking up a lot of time, just got to start scheduling my days better.

 

Here is the list:

 

Corey Rosier-OF-Chipola

Jonathan Alonso-1B-State College of Florida

Manny Gonzalez-OF-Wabash Valley

Kameron Wells-OF-Miami-Dade

Will Nigut-RHP-Kirkwood

Levi Usher-OF-Kirkwood

Luke Patzner-RHP-Heartland CC

Thomas Grilli-C-Panola

Dalton Moore-Iowa Western

Kade Vander Molen-SS-Iowa Western

Jake Sweeney-LHP-Pensacola State

Levi Usher-OF-Kirkwood

Hunter Milam-LHP-Memphis Gulf Coast CC

Yordy Cabrera-RHP-Palm Beach State

Tyler Woessner-RHP-Central Arizona CC

Jacob Kush-RHP-Northwest Florida State CC

Tyrin Pacheco-College of Southern Nevada

Nolan Daniel-Tallahassee CC

Silas Butler-OF-Walters State CC

Zach Smith-1b-Harford CC

Chipola/San Jacinto Freshman to Watch

In an effort to speed this up a bit, I am going to make this post a bit longer, and do the rest of the player bios for freshman playing to Chipola and San Jacinto this spring. I knew coming into this series that these schools would have the most players, so why not do the remaining ones in one post. For fans of either Chipola or San Jacinto, I have done player bios on others in previous installments of this series, check them out!

One question I have for readers is that I have seen a lot more pitchers with a slight crossfire motion. Is this a trend? I feel like it is not, but I did not do as much research for the draft this year as I did last year. I went to a lot of college games over at Valparaiso University and Purdue Northwest, and I don’t recall seeing too many. I am interested to hear what people have to say.

San Jacinto

Yanick Rodriguez-SS

Undrafted, old for the draft at 18 years and 11 months. Previously a New Orleans commit. Projectable frame at 6’1 170, should get to around 180-185. Above average speed, solid range and arm strength. Slight open stance, big leck kick. I don’t mind big leg kicks as long as he is consistent. Average bat speed, tends to get above the ball. Shows good raw power. Profiles more at second base in pro ball.

Bryant Salgado-RHP

Previously had a commitment to Rice. Solid frame 6’1 185, could get to 195-200. Fastball sits 88-92, with and has hit 93. Average curveball with solid depth that is a mid 70’s pitch. Above average arm speed and solid balance. Dark horse candidate to be drafted this year, has a projectable frame and San Jacinto has a great track record of developing pitchers(4 in 2018).

Chase Wilkerson-RHP

Previous commitment to Florida State. 6’0 180. 87-91 fastball, gets some arm side movement.  Average 11/5 movement on the curveball, sits in the low 70s. Really balanced and has clean arm action, very little effort. Another average right handed pitcher, probably not good enough to warrant a draft pick in 2019.

Brandon Deskins-LHP

Another Rice commit. Super projectable at 6’0 160. Throws from a ¾ arm slot with a crossfire delivery. Loopy arm action, pulls the ball behind his back, gets good extension. Sweeping curve with 1/7 action and sits in low 70s, is above average. Fastball is upper 80s and has hit 91 with some movement. Has flashed a change, is a work in progress but flashes average with some drop. Not sure if he is a draft talent in 2019, but I would not be surprised if he ends up getting drafted and out producing the rest of the San Jacinto pitchers.

Chipola

David Smith-C

6’2 185, could get bigger. Slightly open stance, left handed stance, shows above average raw power and bat speed. Swings down and has a flat attack angle. Above average arm behind the plate, athletic behind the plate and blocks well. Should stick behind the plate, can play first but would lessen his value.

 

Andrew Moore-RHP

Big frame at 6’5 200. PG 296. Old for HS at 18/9 mo at draft. Fastball sits 87-90 and tops at 92. Deceptive delivery with ¾ arm slot, reminds me of Taylor Jungmann. Gets heavy sink on the fastball. Offspeed is inconsistent, arm angles vary and does not look confident throwing it. In between a curve and slider, has slurve like action. Could be a sinker/slider type reliever in pro ball. Lots of potential, but is pretty raw.

Corey Rosier-OF

PG 351. 5’10 170. Plus runner in the outfield, good instincts and should cover centerfield well. Below average arm that should get better with age. Has a doubles swing, but with average to above average raw power. Profiles as a fourth outfielder right now, could see that change if he adds a bit more power to his swing.

Interesting JUCO Freshman Pt. 6

Sorry for this long break, school has been busy and I have been working hard at that. Unfortunately, I can’t go through school without studying anymore. Those were the days.

Jared Hart-OF-San Jacinto

Undrafted in 2018. PG 249. Originally committed to Vanderbilt. Slender frame at 6’3 180. Average runner with good defensive instincts. Below average arm. Slightly open stance with a lot of movement in his hands. Above average raw power and bat speed, not much lift to the baseball. Not a huge fan, but a Vandy commit always catches my eye.

Daniel Cerda-SS-Chipola

Undrafted, PG 311. Super thin frame at 5’11 150. Projectable, but probably won’t get up to more than 180, most likely 170. Slight open stance, solid attack angle and balance. Above average bat speed with below average power. Should get more power as frame builds out. Good defender, projects to stick at shortstop. Plus arm. I love projectable athletes with great arms and he fits the mold. Excited to see how he does this spring.

Riley Watkins-RHP-Itawamba CC

Undrafted. Big frame at 6’5 210. Shows an average fastball at 85-88 top 90 with little movement. Offspeed is average as well, curve in the low 70s and changeup in the mid 70s. Iffy command and not very athletic. Doubtful to be drafted in the next two years, needs a lot of development.

Tyler Lewis-RHP-Indian Hills CC

Undrafted, PG 382. Physically maxed out at 6’4 235. Fastball sits 88-93, topped at 95 with plus movement and splitter in mid 80s. Solid low 70s curveball with solid depth, 12-6 action, inconsistent. Average command. High effort delivery that comes from a ¾ arm slot. Slight crossfire action with poor balance, and leans towards 3rd base side, average extension.  

Also played the field, has plus power. Could get drafted with a solid spring, 20-30 round talent.

Interesting JUCO Freshman Part 5

This series has been going on for awhile, but now I have a bit more direction for this. I made a list of all of the freshman I want to write about still, and it came out to twenty nine. I like doing four per particle, so we are looking at 7 more articles left, including this one. Once I am done with all of these, I will make a post that will just be master list of all of the articles I have wrote. Along with that, there will be a link to a Google sheet which will have all of the players I have written about in a database that will include tool grades and links to the articles. As the season progresses, there will be updates to the database, which will be updated to the best of my ability.

Michael Fitzpatrick-RHP-San Jacinto

Fitzpatrick isn’t overpowering in any one area, but he does a lot of things well. 6’2 190, could add a bit more to his frame, athletic. His fastball sits 84-88 and has topped out at 90. Offspeed is nothing crazy the slider is average and the curve and change are below aver. Slider is solid and gets nice tilt. Mechanically, it is a bit forced. Long arm action and his legs are kind of stiff. Good balance, except when he drops to the lower arm slot. Has a tendency to lean to 3rd base side. Mostly throws from a ¾ but then will drop down to a low ¾ slot. Doubtful to be drafted next year, more 2020 guy.

Chance Denson-RHP-East Mississippi CC

Undrafted in 2018. PG 168. Former Mississippi St. commit. Physically mature at 6’3 220. Questionable character stemming from alleged sexual assault case, charges dropped. Solid mechanically, slight crossfire, stays pretty balanced, not super explosive. Large back leg drop. Fastball sits low 90s and has topped at 95. Not much movement and is fairly straight because of large back leg drop. Slider is an average pitch with slurve like action,75-80. Change is below average, not much drop,74-78. Should get drafted next year.

Logan Jarosz-RHP-Chipola

Undrafted in 2018. PG 480. Old school wind up with the hands over head and high leg kick. Throws from a high ¾ slot. 5’11 180, could add more to the frame. Good athlete. Long arm circle with fast arm speed. Fastball is 87-90 and topped 91, coming from a downhill plane. Above average curve that sits 75-78 and has 11-5 break. Did well in the Coastal Plains League this summer(37 IP 31/20 K/BB 5.35 ERA). Bias against short righties might make him go undrafted but I see him as a 20-30 round talent, if he is willing to sign.

Silas Butler-OF-Walters State

Undrafted in 2018. PG 472. 6’2 205, physically mature for his body type. Slightly open stance with back foot turned in. Above average raw power, plus bat speed. Swing path is more like a line drive hitter. Above average runner. Good defender with an above average arm and solid instincts in center field. Athletic, should be able to stick in center. Another 20-30 round talent.

Scouting the Return for the Daniel Murphy Trade

This is not about amateur baseball, but I wanted to take a quick break from that to look over the big trade that happened today between the Cubs and the Nationals. The Nats finally decided to give up on the season and dealt Daniel Murphy to the Cubs for Andruw Monasterio and a player to be named later. Obviously I cannot say anything about the player to be named later, but I did look over Monasterio and if the Nationals have anything in him.

Monasterio is a shortstop who was signed by the Cubs out of Venezuela is 2014. He impressed the Cubs by hitting .292/.368/.343 in the Venezuela Summer League, despite only being 17. He spent all of 2015 in rookie ball before getting called up to A ball in 2016, first in short season Eugene, and then to full season South Bend, where he played for most of the season. Being a 19 year old in full season A ball is impressive, but he did struggle with the bat. Last year, he spent most of the season in South Bend before getting called up to high A Myrtle Beach. The bat got better, but not by much. This season, he has played the entire year in Myrtle Beach and has hit .263/.359/.336 with 3 homers. This is not great, but his future value at the MLB level is not hitting and his plate discipline (64/52 K/BB) is solid.

Where Monasterio’s value lies is in his defense. Monasterio is very athletic with above average speed and solid arm strength. Despite this, he is a fringy shortstop and has mostly played second base this year. Monasterio has had to compete with Aramis Ademan, a top 10 prospect for the Cubs. The Nationals probably will give him more time at shortstop to see where he fits in long term, even with Luis Garcia also in Potomac. I am somewhat optimistic that he can stick at shortstop, as his physical profile(6’0 175) fits the position.

Overall, this is not much of a return for Daniel Murphy, and makes me wonder what was on the table before the July 31 deadline. Since Murphy has not hit to his usual standards(108 wRC+) and his defense has been below average, I doubt it would have been much more. Murphy has been hitting lights out since the All Star break, with a slash line of .340/.370/.534. For the Nationals, it is sad to see them have such a disappointing year, and this return will not make fans happy. I see Monasterio as a bench defender in the big leagues, if he gets there at all. Mike Rizzo is a smart GM however, and I can see him turning this ship around next year and getting back into the playoffs.

Interesting JUCO freshman Pt.3

Back again with this series, already on part three. One thing I forgot to mention however. The PG rankings are just high school players. For example, Jake Smith is ranked as number 390 amongst all HS players, not all draft eligible. Just thought I’d point that out not to confuse anyone.

Jake Smith-RHP-Chipola

Another guy who shot up the boards in his senior year and got drafted in the 21st. Went from mid 80s touching ninty to 88-92 touching 95. Fastball is above average with arm side run. Lanky, athletic frame at 6’5 165. Arsenal includes fastball, curve, slider, and change. His curve is his best offspeed, sitting low 70s with solid break, is an above average pitch. The slider is average, at 78-82 with average tilt. The change is his weakest pitch at 80-84 with little drop. Originally a UNC-Wilmington recruit. Ranked 390 by PG. Should be drafted again in 2019.

Francois Castillo-RHP/3B/1B-San Jacinto

Did not get drafted, which is surprising. Clean delivery and uses his big frame well. Slight crossfire action but doesn’t affect command to much. Very balanced and in control. Hides the ball well. Throws from a high ¾ arm slot. Physically maxed out at 6’1 220, Kumar Rocker lite. Surprisingly athletic. Fastball sits 90-93 and hit 94, not much run but comes from a downward plane. Plus curve that sits mid 70s with plus 12/6 depth and late bite(2646). Also a below average change at 84-86. Good command, especially for a HS. Hitting side, plus raw power and bat speed. Better pitcher than hitter. Originally an Eastern Illinois commit. PG 254. I absolutely love his arm action and his delivery in general. Top 10 round talent, could sneak into top 3 round contention if he adds more velo.

Tyler Acosta-OF-State College of Florida

Acosta was drafted in the 39th round by Arizona and is the godson of Vladimir Guerrero. Wiry frame at 6’1 175. Could add more, but projects as a CF so he does not need much more. Plus range with an above average arm. Above average speed(6.6 60). Plus bat speed and above average raw power. Solid hit tool, average approach. Originally an Illinois commit. PG 346. Another top 10 round talent who got drafted late because of money. Interested to see how he does this season.

Interesting JUCO Freshman Pt.2

Here’s the second installment of interesting JUCO freshman. It’s always fun to cover freshman who have shots at being selected again next year.

Klay Allen-RHP-Tallahassee CC

Allen is the first guy I have covered that went undrafted. He originally had a commitment to Georgia Southern, but ended up in Tallahassee. Allen is 6’2 195 with a little more room to grow. Not much info on him, but has a fastball that sits mid to upper 80’s and has hit 90 and a curve in the mid 70s. Doubtful to be drafted in 2019, maybe a 2020 or 2021 based on if he transfers after this season.

Kenen Irizarry-SS-Miami Dade

Selected in the 13rd round by the Rangers, Irizarry elected to go to school and hopefully get selected higher in 2019. Above average runner and plus defender with a plus arm and plus athleticism. Only 6’0 165 so there’s room to grow, probably to 180. Uses his legs well in his swing and has above average bat speed. Below average raw power, but that should get better as he gets bigger. Intriguing prospect, top 5 round talent, not sure about financial situation. Shortstop is also looking loaded this year, but I doubt that will make him drop.

Blaine Gillim-LHP-Sante Fe College

Gillim is another one who went undrafted, but it is pretty surprising that he did. Was ranked 369 by Perfect Game and was one of the highest toughted players in Kentucky. Mechanically, there is a lot going on, as it is a pretty violent delivery from a high ¾ delivery. But he maintains his balance very well and does not have command issues. TJ survivor from 2017, which isn’t to concerning anymore, but something to know. Fastball is in the upper 80’s and hit 91 with some arm side run. Has an above average curve that sits mid 70s and shows late 12-6 break. Really shot up the boards this past summer, as he went from non prospect(80-84 FB) to legit draft prospect. Should be drafted in 2019, but I bet teams are concerned by the TJ and the violent delivery. Interesting follow.

Ezequiel Pagan-OF-Broward CC

Another Puerto Rican born 13th round pick, this time by the Cubs. Above average speed and plus defender in center field. Slender build at 6’1 160, probably up to 175 at max. Solid balance throughout his swing and uses his legs well. Swings on an upward plane. Above average bat speed and average raw power. Ranked 325 by PG and comp of Denard Span. Was young for the 2018 draft(17 and 10 mo.). Top 10 round potential for 2019.

Interesting JUCO Freshman Pt.1

Long time no see for this site. I have done a terrible job of upkeep, and that means there is pretty much no readers. Consistency is something I need to get better at, as well as marketing. It’s not fun, but it has to be done. Either way, let’s talk some baseball.

I am working on building out my notes for the class of 2021, which are freshman this season, and started over in the JUCO section. These guys are eligible for the upcoming draft, and I want to get a good grasp of this year’s class. This isn’t a rankings post, but more of a notes page. Hopefully I will put out a top 20 or so list when it gets closer to the draft.

Mitchell Parker-LHP-San Jacinto CC

Parker was ranked 281 on Baseball America’s and 286 by Perfect Game, so I would imagine him being a lock for next year’s draft after getting selected in the 23rd round by the Cubs. Originally a Tennessee commit, he is heading to San Jacinto for the spring, hoping to once again get drafted. Projectable frame at 6’4 190. His fastball sits 88-92 and hits mid 90’s occasionally and throws a cutter that is upper 80s. Throws both a slider and a curve in the low to mid 70s that both flash above average. Both pitches are a bit loopy however. Throws from a high ¾ and gets solid extension with some crossfire in his delivery that adds a little funk. Struggles with command.

Tyler Miller-SS-East Mississippi CC

Drafted by the Pirates in the 23rd round, he did not signed and ended up at East Mississippi CC, after previously committing to Alabama. At 6’2 180 he has a projectable frame. Brings good athleticism and above average bat speed and approach. Has topped out at 87 on the mound, not that he will be pitching at all, but shows a strong arm. Should stick at short in the pro ball. With a fairly deep shortstop class this year it will be interesting to see if he can jump into the top 10 rounds.

Antoine Kelly-LHP-Wabash Valley

Kelly was selected in the 13th round by the Pirates but opted to go to JUCO for a year to crack the top 10 rounds. Originally was committed to Central Arizona CC. Super projectable at 6’5 180. Struggles with command, like many prep pitchers, but has gotten better. His fastball velocity varies from 87 to 95 and gets good run on the ball. Throws from a high ¾ arm slot. Slider shows above average but does get loopy at times. Really improved his draft stock over the last month before the draft, which lead to him getting selected so high. Potential to be a top 5 round pitcher unless his ask is too high.

Jack Haney-C-Chipola

What JUCO article would be complete without mentioning at least one Chipola player? Haney was selected in the 33rd round by the Nationals. Undersized catcher(5’9 180) but with solid bat speed and arm, not super athletic. Positive attack angle and uses his legs to generate power. Interesting fact is that he skipped graduation to tryout for the Braves. Not sure how his mom felt about that, but that would not fly in my house unfortunately. Nonetheless, I wish him well, since it is not often you see 5’9 catchers.

Seth Caldwell-RHP-Walters State CC

Drafted in the 29th round by the Angles. Another projectable body at 6’5 180. Typical fastball, slider, curve arsenal but they all are above average. Fastball sits high 80s and tops at 92 with little to no movement. The change has some sink and sits mid 70s. Curveball is also in the mid 70s with late 12-6 break. Did have some command issues, as all prep pitchers do.

A Quick Look into the Green Bay Bullfrogs

Collegiate summer ball is one of my favorite parts of amateur baseball and it is interesting to see how the top collegiate players perform against each other. Here is a look into the Bullfrogs, who have had a rough season so far but still have talent on the roster.

Jason Applegate

Applegate has had a solid college career so far at Villanova, where he has pitched out of the bullpen for the past three years. His sophomore was rocky, putting up a 8.85 ERA with nearly a walk per inning, but he bounced back last year and had solid results. Applegate features a high 80’s to low 90’s fastball, and that is all I have on him. He is majoring in nursing, which is impressive for a D1 athlete. I doubt he will be selected in next year’s draft, but should have independent ball opportunities should he be interested.

Ryan Gowens

Gowens is one of the rare seniors playing in collegiate summer ball. He has not performed well at all this season for the Bullfrogs, but he still has talent, with a fastball that tops in the mid 90s. Gowens has shown poor control in the very few innings his career at Arizona, but had a successful junior college career. There is more tools than results here, but I could see him signing an independent contract and then getting picked up by an MLB team.

Will Shirah

I was surprised that he was not drafted this year, as he has a solid 88-92 fastball that pairs well with his above average curveball that sits in the low 70s. Mechanically, he is very sound with solid balance and extension, although his arm action is a bit loopy. Look for Shirah to be a top 10 round pick in 2021.

Hugh Chapman

Chapman pitched 15 innings in his freshman year and was wild(12 BB) but struck batters out(14 K) and even started 3 games as a freshman. He had a 9.60 ERA but that is ok for a freshman. I don’t have much on him besides a low 90’s fastball, but that is enough for me to put him on my 2020 draft list. Fun fact: He also played for a travel team called the 6-4-3 DP Cougars, which sounds like an overpriced travel team with a coach who lives his life through his son, but apparently they are pretty good.

Tate Soderstrom

Tate Soderstrom is going to be a sophomore next year at Arizona state after a solid freshman season, slashing .242/.337/.374. He has shown above average raw power, speed, and bat speed. His approach needs some work (11/22 BB/K), and he seems to be physically maxed out(6’1” 195). I am always hesitant about free swingers, but he is a freshman with time to develop better plate discipline. Definitely on the follow list for 2020.